Takudzwa Chirindo
GWU · M.S. Analytics
Open to opportunities · Summer 2026 · Visa sponsorship required

TakudzwaChirindo

Building AI-Powered Investment Research Systems
I built a multi-agent system that implements Chauvet-Piger (2008) Dynamic Factor Markov-Switching to classify macro regimes from Federal Reserve data, then cross-references corporate earnings language to flag contradictions as investment signals. It runs live. Every Monday it publishes to Takue Unhedged.

Multi-Agent AI Systems
FRED API · SEC EDGAR
FinBERT NLP
Macro Regime Classification
Stochastic Programming
Python · SQL
HuggingFace API
Alternative Data Signals
Portfolio Optimization
VAR Modeling
Bloomberg Terminal
Multi-Agent AI Systems
FRED API · SEC EDGAR
FinBERT NLP
Macro Regime Classification
Stochastic Programming
Python · SQL
HuggingFace API
Alternative Data Signals
Portfolio Optimization
VAR Modeling
Bloomberg Terminal
01 — About Me

Built for complex problems.

Background

I am a graduate student in Data Analytics at George Washington University (M.S., expected May 2027), with a B.Sc. in Economics from Bindura University of Science Education, Zimbabwe.

I build AI-powered investment research systems. My Macro Bridge Stack implements the Chauvet-Piger (2008) Dynamic Factor Markov-Switching methodology — producing Bayesian posterior recession probabilities and a 5-state HMM regime classifier. It runs live and publishes weekly to Takue Unhedged on Substack.

I grew up watching currency crises and capital flight in Zimbabwe. The patterns that precede macro deterioration are consistent across markets. I am systematizing what I already understood intuitively.

● Live system · Weekly research output
Projects Live
2
Agents running · More in build
Degree
M.S.
Data Analytics · GWU '27
Location
📍

Silver Spring, MD

Washington D.C. Metro Area

Focus Areas
Quant Finance NLP / ML Policy Analysis Optimization
Python
R Programming
FinBERT
SQL · MySQL
Stochastic Optimization
AMPL
Gurobi Solver
NLP / Transformers
Scikit-learn
Markov-Switching
Bayesian Inference
Hidden Markov Models
Pandas · NumPy
Tableau
Python
R Programming
FinBERT
SQL · MySQL
Stochastic Optimization
AMPL
Gurobi Solver
NLP / Transformers
Scikit-learn
Markov-Switching
Bayesian Inference
Hidden Markov Models
Pandas · NumPy
Tableau
VAR Modeling
Power BI
Minitab
PCA Analysis
VADER Sentiment
Portfolio Theory
EVPI · VSS
Data Visualization
Macroeconomics
Git · GitHub
Jupyter
Stata
VAR Modeling
Power BI
Minitab
PCA Analysis
VADER Sentiment
Portfolio Theory
EVPI · VSS
Data Visualization
Macroeconomics
Git · GitHub
Jupyter
Stata
02 — Selected Work

Projects that matter.

01
Macro Bridge Stack v3 — Dynamic Factor Markov-Switching Regime Engine

Production two-agent system implementing the Chauvet-Piger (2008) DFMS methodology. Agent 1 runs a three-layer architecture: PCA extracts a latent common factor from the four NBER coincident variables; a Bayesian Gibbs-sampler Markov-switching model produces full posterior recession probabilities with uncertainty estimates; and a 5-state Gaussian HMM with Hungarian-algorithm regime matching outputs a soft probability vector across Expansion, Late Cycle, Stagflation, Contraction, and Crisis. Agent 2 tracks corporate narrative drift across a nine-firm earnings panel. Publishes weekly to Takue Unhedged.

Live · v3.0 Chauvet-Piger 2008 Bayesian Gibbs HMM FRED API Multi-Agent
02
NhauFinance — African Financial Language Model

Domain-adapted financial language model for African markets built on continued pretraining of FinBERT. Corpus pipeline covering 5 central banks including SARB, CBN, BOG, CBK, and RBZ. Targeting 4 downstream tasks with a +18 F1 benchmark goal over FinBERT baseline. The first open-source NLP model trained on African monetary policy and financial text.

FinBERT In Development African Markets HuggingFace
03
Stochastic Portfolio Optimization Model

Two-stage stochastic programming model with Bull / Normal / Bear scenarios, full EVPI and VSS analysis, implemented in AMPL with Gurobi. Quantifies the value of resolving uncertainty before making allocation decisions.

AMPL · Gurobi Stochastic EVPI
04
Financial News Sentiment ML Pipeline

End-to-end pipeline classifying financial news sentiment with VADER and five ML classifiers cross-referenced against SPY ETF price movements. Extracted statistically significant alpha signals from raw news text.

VADER Scikit-learn SPY ETF
★ Featured Research · Stock Pitch Competition

Long AAON Inc.
NASDAQ: AAON

Recommendation
BUY
18-Month Horizon

AAON's subsidiary BASX delivered 143% revenue growth to $548M in FY2025, driven almost entirely by hyperscaler data center cooling demand from Microsoft, Google, and Amazon — yet the market prices BASX at a mere 4.6× forward revenue, applying a deep discount rooted in three misunderstood fear factors.

Through a six-phase research process using Perplexity Computer to mine alternative data signals, I uncovered a West Coast BASX Technical Sales Manager job posting directly targeting hyperscaler campuses in Washington and California — a finding no sell-side analyst had published. This single data point refutes the customer concentration bear case entirely.

My SOTP model yields a $95 price target by 2027 (~18% upside from ~$81), with an acquisition floor near $105 given BASX's strategic value to any industrial HVAC acquirer.

Price Target $95
Current Price ~$81
Upside +18%
Acquisition Floor ~$105
BASX Revenue Growth +143%
BASX Revenue (FY2025) $548M
Valuation Multiple 4.6× Fwd Rev
Horizon 18 Months
Bear Case Analysis — Three Fears, Three Resolutions
ERP Disruption Risk
Market feared BASX's growth was a one-cycle phenomenon tied to a single wave of data center builds, with ERP-driven substitution threatening future demand.
Resolved — Non-structural
🏢
Customer Concentration
Heavy reliance on a narrow set of hyperscaler clients flagged as existential. If one customer pulls back, revenue collapses — the most cited institutional concern.
Refuted by Alt Data Signal
💸
FCF Collapse
High capex intensity during BASX's rapid capacity expansion drove free cash flow into deeply negative territory, triggering valuation compression from growth investors.
Resolved — Temporary Cycle
Alternative Data Alpha · Key Discovery

Using Perplexity Computer, I identified a West Coast BASX Technical Sales Manager job posting (April 2026) explicitly targeting Microsoft, Google, and Amazon campus infrastructure in Washington and California. This single hiring signal — invisible to traditional sell-side research — directly contradicts the customer concentration thesis and signals BASX is actively expanding its hyperscaler relationships, not contracting them.

Stock Pitch Competition · April 2026
Judges: Philippe Laffont (Coatue) · Dan Loeb (Third Point) · Ken Hao (Silver Lake)
View Interactive Thesis → Live Monitor →

Where I've made impact.

2023
Macroeconomic & Marketing Research Officer
Varun Beverages Zimbabwe Limited · Harare, Zimbabwe

Led macroeconomic analysis and consumer market research for Zimbabwe's beverage sector. Applied VAR modeling across structural economic regimes to forecast demand; produced high-stakes intelligence reports informing C-suite strategy.

2022
Research Economist Intern
Global Village Charitable Trust · Zimbabwe

Conducted economic research and policy analysis for development-focused programs. Synthesized quantitative and qualitative data into concise policy briefs for program evaluation, stakeholder reporting, and grant applications.

04 — Education

Academic foundation.

🎓
George Washington University · Washington, D.C.
M.S. in Data Analytics
Expected May 2027 · GPA tracked
📐
Bindura University of Science Education · Zimbabwe
B.Sc. in Economics
Undergraduate · Thesis on Zimbabwean Monetary Policy (VAR)

Let's
build something.

I am actively seeking summer internships and full-time roles in investment research, quantitative analytics, and data science. Visa sponsorship required. I publish weekly macro research on Takue Unhedged.

Send a Message →